AUD/USD remains stable following the robust employment report from Australia, which has recalibrated interest-rate expectations. The prevailing sentiment in the markets indicates a significant shift away from the expectation of an RBA cut this year. This shift is not attributed to a hawkish stance from policymakers, but rather to the current data, which does not … Read more
GBP/USD commenced the week contained within a delicate framework around 1.31743, following a series of political upheavals, postponed U.S. data announcements, and differing anticipations regarding the Federal Reserve’s decision in December. The pair struggled to break free from its lower-range congestion, even as it briefly tested the 1.32000 level. Traders are compelled to factor in … Read more
The USD/JPY structure is currently in a phase where macro divergence is expanding at a rate not seen since early 2022. The pair experienced a notable increase, reaching 155.044, marking the highest point in nine months, before concluding the week at 154.52. This development extended its November gain to 0.34%, following a significant 4.2% rise … Read more
GBP/USD is currently exhibiting a compressed and delicate structure as it approaches levels of 1.3130 and 1.3149, while consistently retesting the 1.3010–1.3170 range. This movement occurs amid the market’s absorption of a notably dense array of UK macroeconomic data, political events, and a renewed demand for the USD that has emerged across all major foreign … Read more
The EUR/USD pair maintains its position at the 1.1600 level following a volatile week that has reshaped the dynamics between U.S. policy uncertainty and Eurozone stability. The pair’s capacity to conclude the week with a 0.51% increase, even after a 0.10% decline on Friday, illustrates the extent to which markets adjusted December rate-cut expectations from … Read more
The USD/CAD pair has exhibited volatility in the early hours of Thursday, yet it continues to acknowledge the 1.40 level as a significant point of interest. This is a substantial, circular, psychologically meaningful number that has held significance on several occasions previously. Consequently, it appears that the market is attempting to initiate a turnaround at … Read more
EUR/USD is currently positioned around 1.1630, lingering just below the 1.1655 high, as the market remains confined within a seemingly tight framework that conceals increasing pressure. The breakout above 1.1610, which had previously limited every rally throughout October, now serves as the pivotal point distinguishing short-term momentum from the medium-term trend. The pair has experienced … Read more
Investor sentiment towards risk stayed strong on Wednesday as the US House geared up to vote on concluding the longest government shutdown in American history. As we reach the 43rd day, a favorable vote would enable government agencies to start disseminating a significant backlog of economic data in the upcoming weeks — data that is … Read more
The EUR/USD has ascended into the 1.1615–1.1630 range following a breach of a resistance level that had held the pair back for several weeks. This movement was propelled by a U.S. Dollar that experienced immediate weakening after the conclusion of a 43-day government shutdown, marked by a close 222–209 vote in the House. The recent … Read more
The USD/JPY pair is currently positioned around 154.30–155.00, approaching levels that haven’t been observed in eight months. This movement is influenced by political developments in Tokyo, which are altering expectations regarding the forthcoming policy decision from the Bank of Japan. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s initial formal discussion with Governor Kazuo Ueda triggered fluctuations as she … Read more